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Asokore Beckles

Country profile · Issue No. 02 · July 2026

Trinidad and Tobago.

TTO

Trinidad and Tobago’s row in the Caribbean Debt Tracker. Five metrics, the stated fiscal anchor, current IMF engagement, and the primary sources behind every figure. Last verified 2026-07-21.

Debt to GDP
67.8%

as of 2026

Central government debt, an IMF staff projection for FY2026. Excludes sterilisation debt, public bodies debt and borrowing from the Central Bank. The ratio is flat at 67.8% across FY2025 and FY2026 on the Board table, so the figure is the same either way; this row is dated 2026 to sit on the same footing as the rest of the table. Public sector debt, adding guaranteed debt of non-self-serviced state enterprises and statutory authorities, is the wider measure the IMF WEO general government series carries: 84.2% for 2025 and 84.1% for 2026, some sixteen points above the central government figure shown here.

Primary balance
-0.8%

% of GDP

Real GDP growth
0.8%

2026 projection

Fiscal anchor

No binding fiscal rule or statutory debt ceiling. The authorities operate a non-binding soft debt target (65% of GDP in 2018, revised to 75% by the 2023 and 2024 consultations); the FY2026 budget targets an overall deficit of 2.2% of GDP. The 2026 Article IV Board urged adoption of a medium-term fiscal framework anchored by a well-designed fiscal rule and a credible debt anchor, which it would not do if a binding anchor were already in force.

IMF programme status

No active programme; surveillance only

Notes

All figures here are from the table to Press Release 26/159, issued when the IMF Executive Board concluded the 2026 Article IV consultation on 18 May 2026, and are on a fiscal-year, central-government basis. Central government debt is 64.5% of GDP in FY2024 and then flat at 67.8% across FY2025 and FY2026. Public sector debt, the wider measure, runs 81.8%, 84.2% and 84.1% over the same three years. The central government primary balance is -2.2%, -1.9% and -0.8%, and the overall balance -5.9%, -5.5% and -4.6%, so the deficit is narrowing but remains well outside the 2.2% target in the FY2026 budget. Real GDP growth is 0.8% in both 2025 and 2026. The non-energy primary deficit, the better gauge of the underlying position in an energy economy, is 14.2% of non-energy GDP in FY2024, widening to 15.0% in FY2025 before narrowing to 14.0% in FY2026. Where the February 2026 Staff Concluding Statement differs, the Board table supersedes it: the concluding statement had put the FY2025 non-energy primary deficit at 14.9% and the FY2026 central government primary balance at -1.4%.

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Read the full Tracker.

The same five metrics across the Caribbean Community, with the regional aggregate panel and the methodology. Refreshed against each new IMF World Economic Outlook release. Issue No. 03 follows in August 2026.